PPIE / Methodology
A repeatable method for testing conviction.
PPIE separates evidence from assumption, tests multiple futures, and records why an opportunity advances, changes, or stops.
The five stages of the method
Frame the question
Define the decision, horizon, stakeholders and success measures before any analysis begins.
Build the evidence base
Establish sources, assess quality, identify gaps, timing and contradictory signals.
Analyse and model
Forecast, value, stress-test and deliberately challenge the working assumptions.
Apply decision gates
Documented criteria govern diligence, capital and ownership decisions at each stage.
Monitor and learn
Compare outcomes with the original thesis; update signals, actions and exit readiness.
What we show our clients
- A method diagram walking through each stage
- The source hierarchy used to grade evidence
- How scenarios are defined and stress-tested
- Investment-committee responsibilities at each gate
Role boundary
PPIE's models support judgement — they do not predict outcomes or remove investment risk. Every recommendation remains subject to senior review, governance approval and, where relevant, licensed-partner sign-off.